Is M&A a Zero-Sum Game?

A startup founded in 2020, valued at $1B in 2021, and sold for $450M in 2024 for ~20x sales!

Akamai, a public cloud company trading at ๐Ÿฐ๐˜… revenues, announced last month to acquire Noname Security, a 200 employee API security company, for ~๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐˜… revenues!

Now, in Dec 2021, Noname raised $135 millionย from VC investors in a Series C round at the ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿญ ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—บ, ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฎ ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ณ $๐Ÿญ๐—•.

And 2 years 4 months later, the company is sold for less than 50%. What changed:

  1. High interest rate environment
  2. Frozen IPO market
  3. Many late-stage VC looking for liquidity.

๐——๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ? NO
– Not the early investors – they made high risk investment and got a high return
– But the late-stage investors only got a full return on the capital they put in even when sold for less than peak valuation.

๐——๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ? NO
– Guessing not, as often they retain a portion of equity that can be worth a lot, especially if theyโ€™ve negotiated well during funding rounds. Even if the sale price is lower than the valuation, they might still make a substantial profit.

๐—ฆ๐—ผ, ๐—”๐—ธ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ถ ๐—บ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜†? NO
– They seem to have made over 30+ acquisitions in the past, many being early stage companies, at valuations much higher than their own. And yet their stock has only grown from about $15 to over $100 over the past 20 years. Why? Because these acquisitions demonstrates the ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜ (expand product offering and strengthen its position in the market) in M&A deals. It may not seem immediately apparent, as it takes time and experience to materialize those and Akamai has reputation for successfully consummating acquisition.

๐—ฆ๐—ผ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐— &๐—” ๐—ฎ ๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ผ-๐˜€๐˜‚๐—บ ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ? NO
– Even when price is 20x revenues, ๐— &๐—” ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜† for acquirors, shareholders, employees, customers and the community.
ย 
๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ข๐˜„๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€:

  1. ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ง๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฌ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐—ฃ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ต: Understand the buyerโ€™s current offerings and long-term strategy to align your pitch.
  2. ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜„๐˜๐—ต ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—–๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€: Emphasize how your company can contribute to the buyerโ€™s growth and create cost efficiencies.
  3. ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—”๐—ฑ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€: Highlight how your offerings will improve the buyerโ€™s market position and competitive edge.
  4. ๐—ฃ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: Consider aspects like cultural fit, technology compatibility, and employee retention early in the process.

Are you ready to sell? Get a free audit.

Get evaluated to see if your business is ready to sell or what you need to do to prepare. This 60-minute consultation with an experienced investment banker will provide invaluable advice at a critical juncture.

We will discuss the personal and business factors that determine when it is a good time to sell your business: what are some personal/family/health factors to consider, how much runway is needed from you and others on your team, where is your business in its life cycle, what does your current pipeline look like, including some low and high hanging opportunities.